Keep the option alive.
Zclassic describes itself as a community-driven Zcash fork secured by proof of work. That gives this thesis a concrete starting point. [2]
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Rich list & dormant coins ↓AN INDEPENDENT INVESTMENT THESIS
I believe Zclassic can be a check on Zcash’s direction: a proof-of-work alternative that puts pressure on protocol-funded rewards and makes changing the monetary rules harder to justify.
Read the thesisA personal argument. Open to scrutiny.
A choice outside the system
can shape the choices within it.
Frank Braun’s July 2025 thesis argues that Zcash could benefit if demand for financial privacy grows.
He connects private wealth storage and commerce to demand for privacy coins, arguing that longer-term shielded holdings and better wallet usability could reinforce adoption. His investment case also considers issuance, competition, and execution risk. [1]
Braun’s essay makes a case for ZEC. The ZCL counterweight thesis on this page is my own extension; it is not an endorsement by Braun.
02 / MY ZCL THESIS
My reason for taking a ZCL position is to support an outside option. I want the Zcash Foundation and the wider ecosystem to face a real market consequence if they pursue proof of stake against the preferences of PoW supporters.
Zclassic describes itself as a community-driven Zcash fork secured by proof of work. That gives this thesis a concrete starting point. [2]
My hypothesis: users, miners, and builders having somewhere viable to go could make a controversial consensus change less attractive.
A ZCL position expresses my preference for PoW. For that signal to matter, it must be accompanied by useful software, security, adoption, and liquidity.
The goal is to keep PoW a credible choice and compete down the claim on issuance made by development organizations. Whether ZCL can exert enough pressure to do that remains unproven. The case for Crosslink’s hybrid design deserves its own hearing.
03 / COMPETE THE REWARD DOWN
I want competition to push protocol-funded rewards toward the minimum needed to deliver work users actually value.
A development organization should have to justify its cost, just as any other service provider does. When funding is embedded in consensus, a dissatisfied holder cannot simply cancel that allocation while continuing to use the same rules. Their alternatives are to persuade the network to change the rules, accept the arrangement, or leave.
A credible ZCL alternative could make leaving a meaningful choice. If users, capital, miners, and builders prefer a network without the same development allocation, that gives Zcash’s funding recipients a reason to ask for less, explain their budgets, and demonstrate why their work is worth supporting. The pressure would be strongest if useful work can be sustained with smaller allocations or voluntary funding.
This is what I mean by competing the reward down: make the cost of institutional funding visible and contestable. Buying ZCL does not mechanically lower a Zcash funding percentage. It supports the outside option that could make a lower percentage politically and economically attractive.
The original Founders’ Reward and later development funds are different arrangements. ZIP 214’s historical Canopy allocation included 5% of the subsidy for ZF; subsequent revisions define different recipients. I use “foundation reward” here as shorthand for protocol-directed institutional funding, not a claim that ZF currently receives the entire development allocation. [5]
With total subsidy unchanged, reducing an institutional slice reallocates coins to other recipients, such as miners. It does not by itself reduce issuance or holder dilution.
Zclassic describes its block rewards as going entirely to miners. That makes it a useful point of comparison, but it does not establish equal security, privacy features, or maintenance quality. A cheaper alternative must still work. [2]
04 / THE INCENTIVE TO DO SOMETHING
A permanent funding stream can create pressure to produce a permanent roadmap.
My concern is an incentive mismatch. A funded organization must explain its budget, retain staff, and demonstrate progress. New protocol features produce visible milestones. Keeping a sound monetary rule unchanged produces fewer announcements, even when that restraint is more valuable to holders.
That can create a cycle: a budget supports a team; the team needs a roadmap; the roadmap proposes protocol changes; those changes create new implementation, audit, and maintenance work that supports the next budget. Nobody has to act dishonestly for this incentive to exist. This is my institutional critique, not evidence of any particular person’s motive.
For monetary rules, my starting point is continuity. Every change should overcome the costs of implementation risk, coordination, and weakening expectations that the rules will stay put. When the claimed improvement cannot clear that bar, leaving the protocol alone is the better outcome.
Doing nothing to issuance does not mean abandoning the software. Fix vulnerabilities, maintain nodes, improve wallets, and fund careful audits. Judge that work by user benefit and reliability, rather than the number of consensus changes shipped.
For issuance smoothing, my preference is to leave the established monetary schedule alone.
ZIP 234 is marked Draft in the text reviewed September 12, 2026. It proposes replacing stepped halvings with a subsidy calculated from the remaining money reserve, retaining the stated 21-million cap. It also enables future reissuance of funds deliberately removed from circulation through the NSM. Its authors argue this could soften mining-revenue shocks and support long-term security. [6]
Those are the benefits the proposal needs to establish. My objection is that the cap is only one part of a monetary commitment: the timing and conditions of issuance matter too. A familiar schedule gives holders and miners a rule they can plan around. Changing it spends some of that predictability and sets another precedent for revisiting monetary policy.
A smoother revenue path may appeal to miners and, wherever funding streams receive a share of the subsidy, to those recipients as well. That creates a reason to examine incentives; it does not prove that smoothing increases an organization’s total funding or that its authors proposed it for personal benefit.
In my assessment, retaining the existing schedule is better unless proponents show that the security benefit outweighs the implementation and credibility costs. An institution needing a new project is not a reason to change the money. A credible PoW alternative can reinforce that boundary by giving people who value restraint somewhere else to go.
ZIP 233 provides an explicit mechanism for removing funds from circulation. A balance whose keys are lost does not become an NSM deposit merely because it is dormant. The rich-list research described below would not justify treating inactive coins as available for reissuance. [7]
06 / THE STRONGEST CASE FOR CROSSLINK
Crosslink has a stronger case when the goal is better settlement assurance while keeping PoW mining.
The proposal adds stake-weighted finalizers alongside the existing PoW chain. Miners still produce blocks. Under the protocol’s security assumptions, finalized history gains protection against reorganizations. For an exchange crediting deposits or a merchant accepting payment, that could make settlement more dependable and reduce the need for long confirmation waits. Crosslink is a hybrid design, not itself a replacement of mining with full PoS. [8]
The distinction I find persuasive is between changing who can reverse settled history and changing when coins enter circulation. Crosslink targets the first problem; issuance smoothing targets the second. They are not interchangeable solutions. If rollback risk is the problem users actually face, stronger finality addresses it more directly than a different issuance schedule. That is a reason to evaluate Crosslink on its own merits, not to accept an entire upgrade bundle.
The April 2026 feature-net announcement models rewards as 40% for miners, 40% for stakers, and 20% for a development fund. This illustrates funding another security role by reallocating the subsidy. It is a proposed/test-network allocation, not a live-mainnet claim. [9]
The economic argument is that a given subsidy might buy better protection when it supports complementary mining and finalization roles. That benefit has to exceed the effect of reducing miners’ share. Staking rewards are a distribution of the security budget, not free additional wealth, and this design does not by itself compete down the development allocation.
Nicolás Della Penna’s January 2026 mechanism-design audit found strong safety once finality is reached, conditional on BFT assumptions and PoW consistency. It also identified fragile liveness incentives and potential coordinated stalls in the reviewed baseline. Its findings concern a specific evolving design, not a blanket verdict on later versions. [10]
Shielded Labs’ May 2026 feature-net report describes finality stalls while PoW blocks continued, with recovery still under investigation. That is useful testing evidence, but it prevents me from treating dependable recovery as already established. [11]
Competition should make a network prove that a change helps users. If Crosslink delivers materially better settlement, dependable recovery, and acceptable concentration and privacy tradeoffs, that is a real answer to the case for restraint. A credible PoW alternative can remain valuable even when a particular Zcash improvement earns support.
07 / THE GOVERNANCE DISTINCTION
Owning ZCL does not give me a veto over Zcash.
Zcash changes go through a proposal process and network adoption. The Foundation is an influential participant, not a unilateral switch for consensus rules. [3]
ECC’s published PoS research establishes that a transition has been explored. It does not establish that the Foundation can impose one, or that a particular proposal has activated. [4]
My concern is that tying consensus participation to stake can increase the importance of existing capital holders. That concern must be tested against the actual design. PoW has its own concentration and security tradeoffs.
08 / WHAT WOULD CHANGE MY MIND
A good story is only the beginning. These are the conditions I would watch.
If wallets, maintenance, network security, or liquidity are inadequate, the exit option is weak. A ticker alone cannot discipline another network.
If voluntary support or a smaller allocation cannot sustain security, audits, and reliable software, the cheaper arrangement may be worse for users. The relevant comparison is the cost of delivering dependable private money.
Evidence that smoothing materially improves security, under realistic assumptions and after accounting for transition and credibility costs, would weaken my preference for leaving the schedule unchanged.
A design with persuasive evidence for privacy, broad participation, and resistance to concentration would weaken my objection. The comparison needs a specific protocol and its assumptions.
Demand for privacy could grow without value accruing to ZCL. Even a successful Zcash investment thesis does not establish a successful Zclassic investment.
If the Zcash community chooses PoS regardless of activity on Zclassic, ZCL may remain an alternative without preventing the transition. This is the central causal uncertainty.
ON-CHAIN RESEARCH
Rich list research — not yet available
A transparent-address rich list is possible. A list of every holder is not.
Transparent balances can be ranked from an indexed chain snapshot. One person may control many addresses; one exchange address may hold funds for many people. Shielded holdings cannot be ranked by public address.
Dormancy is a signal to investigate, not proof of lost keys. Long-term savings and cold storage can remain untouched for years. Receiving a payment does not demonstrate that an address owner still controls the keys.
A complete index could show each transparent address’s balance, oldest unspent output, and last observed spend at a stated block height. A 1-, 3-, or 5-year inactivity filter would identify dormant candidates. These thresholds would be exploratory choices, not calibrated loss probabilities.
A later spend disproves loss for the outputs it spends. A script proven unspendable under the applicable consensus rules is a separate category. Neither address age nor lack of activity alone establishes permanent loss.
No rich-list rankings or lost-supply estimate are published yet. The current explorer’s tested API does not provide a rich list; this view needs a complete address/UTXO index with spend history. Shielded balances would remain outside its coverage.
09 / WHERE TO BUY
Ready to explore a ZCL position?
Visit NonKYC.io to check ZCL markets, current liquidity, and trading fees.
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10 / FOLLOW THE ARGUMENT
Sources reviewed September 11–12, 2026. Historical essays describe their publication context; the live strip reports source observations separately and does not track protocol activation status.